50周雞蛋行情：節(jié)日效應(yīng)、欲出谷底

崔若偉 · 發(fā)表于 2008-12-19 23:49:19

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本周國(guó)內(nèi)<A href="http://new.boyar.cn/search/search.php?word=雞蛋" target=_blank>雞蛋</A>主產(chǎn)區(qū)<A href="http://new.boyar.cn/search/search.php?word=雞蛋" target=_blank>雞蛋</A>收購(gòu)<A href="http://new.boyar.cn/search/search.php?word=價(jià)格" target=_blank>價(jià)格</A>表   元/斤
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日期<?XML:NAMESPACE PREFIX = O /><O:P></O:P></TD>
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遼寧<O:P></O:P></TD>
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河北<O:P></O:P></TD>
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山東<O:P></O:P></TD>
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河南<O:P></O:P></TD></TR>
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<?XML:NAMESPACE PREFIX = ST1 /><ST1:CHSDATE w:st="on" year="2008" month="12" day="08" islunardate="False" isrocdate="False">12月08日</ST1:CHSDATE><O:P></O:P></TD>
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2.6<O:P></O:P></TD>
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2.66<O:P></O:P></TD>
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2.85<O:P></O:P></TD>
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2.75<O:P></O:P></TD></TR>
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<ST1:CHSDATE w:st="on" year="2008" month="12" day="12" islunardate="False" isrocdate="False">12月12日</ST1:CHSDATE><O:P></O:P></TD>
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2.6<O:P></O:P></TD>
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2.79<O:P></O:P></TD>
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2.85<O:P></O:P></TD>
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2.77<O:P></O:P></TD></TR>
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環(huán)比（%）<O:P></O:P></TD>
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0<O:P></O:P></TD>
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4.89<O:P></O:P></TD>
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0<O:P></O:P></TD>
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0.73<O:P></O:P></TD></TR>
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同比（%）<O:P></O:P></TD>
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7.49<O:P></O:P></TD>
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5<O:P></O:P></TD>
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10.27<O:P></O:P></TD>
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3.61<O:P></O:P></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></DIV>
<P style="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 6pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 120%; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; mso-para-margin-top: 0cm; mso-para-margin-right: 0cm; mso-para-margin-bottom: .5gd; mso-para-margin-left: 0cm; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">圖表可知：<SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-WEIGHT: normal; FONT-FAMILY: 楷體_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋體"><O:P></O:P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 6pt 0cm; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; mso-para-margin-right: 0cm; mso-para-margin-bottom: .5gd; mso-para-margin-left: 0cm; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">本周（12.08-12.12），全國(guó)大部分<A href="http://new.boyar.cn/search/search.php?word=雞蛋" target=_blank>雞蛋</A>主產(chǎn)區(qū)<A href="http://new.boyar.cn/search/search.php?word=價(jià)格" target=_blank>價(jià)格</A>趨漲。<A href="http://new.boyar.cn/search/search.php?word=雞蛋" target=_blank>雞蛋</A>均價(jià)為2.75元/斤，同比上調(diào)6.57%，其中，山東地區(qū)<A href="http://new.boyar.cn/search/search.php?word=雞蛋" target=_blank>雞蛋</A><A href="http://new.boyar.cn/search/search.php?word=價(jià)格" target=_blank>價(jià)格</A>較上周上漲較大，上漲幅度為10.27%，遼寧、河北、河南漲幅較緩，分別為7.49、5、3.61%。 <O:P></O:P>
<SPAN style="COLOR: lime; LINE-HEIGHT: 125%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">博亞和訊蛋價(jià)指數(shù)：
<SPAN style="COLOR: lime; LINE-HEIGHT: 125%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">
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  <SPAN style="FONT-WEIGHT: normal; LINE-HEIGHT: 125%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">由上圖可以看出：本周蛋價(jià)指數(shù)為101.94<SPAN style="FONT-WEIGHT: normal; LINE-HEIGHT: 125%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">，較上周五上漲5.1<SPAN style="FONT-WEIGHT: normal; LINE-HEIGHT: 125%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">個(gè)指數(shù)，蛋價(jià)有回暖趨勢(shì)，與上周<A href="http://new.boyar.cn/search/search.php?word=預(yù)測(cè)" target=_blank>預(yù)測(cè)</A>基本一致。未來(lái)一周蛋價(jià)將繼續(xù)回調(diào)，有望趨穩(wěn)。<O:P></O:P>
<SPAN style="COLOR: lime; LINE-HEIGHT: 125%; FONT-FAMILY: 宋體; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ascii-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-size: 10.5pt">博亞和訊分析：<O:P></O:P>
<P style="TEXT-JUSTIFY: inter-ideograph; MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 6pt; TEXT-INDENT: 21.1pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 120%; TEXT-ALIGN: justify; mso-para-margin-top: 0cm; mso-para-margin-right: 0cm; mso-para-margin-bottom: .5gd; mso-para-margin-left: 0cm; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">本周<A href="http://new.boyar.cn/search/search.php?word=價(jià)格" target=_blank>價(jià)格</A>變化原因分析如下：<SPAN lang=EN-US style="FONT-FAMILY: 楷體_GB2312; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-font-kerning: 1.0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋體"><O:P></O:P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 6pt 0cm; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; mso-para-margin-right: 0cm; mso-para-margin-bottom: .5gd; mso-para-margin-left: 0cm; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">本周整體需求回暖，隨節(jié)日臨近，蛋價(jià)繼續(xù)回升。對(duì)于供給來(lái)講，因天氣轉(zhuǎn)寒，雞病偏多，蛋雞產(chǎn)蛋量回落，對(duì)市場(chǎng)供給有所影響，但前期庫(kù)存蛋偏多，對(duì)市場(chǎng)還有一定的壓力。<O:P></O:P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 6pt 0cm; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; mso-para-margin-right: 0cm; mso-para-margin-bottom: .5gd; mso-para-margin-left: 0cm; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">目前，部分省份陸續(xù)出臺(tái)一系列政策，對(duì)規(guī)?；B(yǎng)雞場(chǎng)進(jìn)行補(bǔ)貼，未來(lái)對(duì)蛋雞市場(chǎng)來(lái)說(shuō)，唯有走規(guī)模化、低成本路線，同時(shí)，國(guó)家取消<A href="http://new.boyar.cn/search/search.php?word=價(jià)格" target=_blank>價(jià)格</A>限制，蛋價(jià)實(shí)現(xiàn)市場(chǎng)化。 <O:P></O:P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 6pt 0cm; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; mso-para-margin-right: 0cm; mso-para-margin-bottom: .5gd; mso-para-margin-left: 0cm; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">近期，蛋價(jià)依舊低位運(yùn)行，均價(jià)為2.75元/羽，較上月2.79元/羽來(lái)說(shuō)，蛋價(jià)基本恢復(fù)，呈上漲態(tài)勢(shì)。近期養(yǎng)殖利潤(rùn)逐步回暖（如下圖）。
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 6pt 0cm; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; mso-para-margin-right: 0cm; mso-para-margin-bottom: .5gd; mso-para-margin-left: 0cm; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0"> 
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<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 6pt 0cm; TEXT-INDENT: 21pt; LINE-HEIGHT: 150%; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; mso-para-margin-top: .5gd; mso-para-margin-right: 0cm; mso-para-margin-bottom: .5gd; mso-para-margin-left: 0cm; mso-char-indent-count: 2.0">下周<A href="http://new.boyar.cn/search/search.php?word=預(yù)測(cè)" target=_blank>預(yù)測(cè)</A>（51周12.15-12.19）：<O:P></O:P>
本周<A href="http://new.boyar.cn/search/search.php?word=行情" target=_blank>行情</A>與上周<A href="http://new.boyar.cn/search/search.php?word=預(yù)測(cè)" target=_blank>預(yù)測(cè)</A>基本一致。受上述因素影響，下周蛋價(jià)低位調(diào)整，受節(jié)日影響蛋價(jià)逐步回暖，均價(jià)2.7-3.0元/斤徘徊。建議養(yǎng)殖戶近期調(diào)整出貨量，化解風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。

50周雞蛋行情：節(jié)日效應(yīng)、欲出谷底

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50周雞蛋行情：節(jié)日效應(yīng)、欲出谷底